Help & Guides · 3-Bucket Models · Stacked

How the Stacked Calculators Work

The bucket rules behind all four Stacked calculators, what each calculator solves for, and how the Monte Carlo analysis tests a plan.
1

How the Buckets Work

The Safety Bucket is presumed to hold lower-return, low-risk debt, while the Income Bucket holds higher-risk bonds and other higher-earning fixed income.
The Safety Bucket covers the nearest years' expenses, while the Income Bucket covers the years following those.
Example: if the Safety Bucket covers 5 years and the Income Bucket covers 3 years, the Safety Bucket covers the first 5 years of expenses, while the Income Bucket covers the next 3 years.
The coverage years are used merely to size the Buckets, and do not decide which Bucket pays a certain year's expense. Each year, the Safety Bucket pays the retirement expenses.
The Growth Bucket refills both the Safety Bucket and the Income Bucket each year. The Income Bucket is stacked below the Safety Bucket's coverage and, under normal circumstances, is not supposed to refill the Safety Bucket. It only pays the expenses if the Safety Bucket runs out and the Growth Bucket cannot refill the Safety Bucket.
Results table hover showing the Safety Bucket paying the expenses of 2027 to 2031, while the Income Bucket is left untouched and then pays 2032 to 2036.
The Safety Bucket, worth $315,656, covers the first 5 years. The Income Bucket, worth $257,950, covers the next 5 years.
2

Safety Bucket Glidepath

The calculator allows you to introduce a glidepath that changes the Safety Bucket's target level over time.
You can specify:
•
Whether the target number of years of expenses increases or decreases over time.
•
The minimum and maximum number of years of expenses the Safety Bucket can hold.
•
When the target changes and how frequently it changes.
This allows you to model a Safety Bucket that evolves throughout retirement rather than maintaining a constant target.
3

Income Bucket Glidepath

The calculator allows you to introduce a glidepath that changes the Income Bucket's target level over time.
You can specify:
•
Whether the target number of years of expenses increases or decreases over time.
•
The minimum and maximum number of years of expenses the Income Bucket can hold.
•
When the target changes and how frequently it changes.
This allows you to model a Income Bucket that evolves throughout retirement rather than maintaining a constant target.
4

Expense Coverage

You can choose the percentage of essential and discretionary expenses used to calculate the Safety Bucket's and Income Bucket's targets. The permitted range is 100%–200%.
This percentage determines the Safety Bucket's and Income Bucket's target sizes, not the expenses they actually pay. The Safety Bucket continues to pay the full actual expenses each year.
For example, choosing 150% coverage allows the Safety Bucket and Income Bucket to hold more than the amount required for their preset years of expenses. This provides an additional reserve against unexpected spending shocks.
5

Uploading Your Own Expenses

Instead of using the calculator's standard expense inputs, you can upload your own yearly expenses.
This is useful when expenses do not follow the standard growth assumptions or when you need to include irregular expenses and inflows. Inflows can be entered as negative expenses.
6

Planning Beyond the Last Year of Retirement

The calculator offers two options for determining how the Safety Bucket's and Income Bucket's targets are handled toward the end of the plan.
Option 1 · Safety Bucket
Expenses end with retirement
The Safety Bucket only needs to cover expenses through the final year of the plan. As fewer years of expenses remain, its target can decline, allowing the Safety Bucket to wind down toward the end of retirement.
Option 1 · Income Bucket
Expenses end with retirement
The Income Bucket only needs to cover expenses through the final year of the plan. As fewer years of expenses remain, its target can decline, allowing the Income Bucket to wind down toward the end of retirement.
Option 2 · Safety Bucket
Maintain the target beyond retirement
The Safety Bucket continues to target the preset number of years of expenses, even in the final years of the plan. This means it may retain funds to cover expenses beyond the chosen planning horizon.
Option 2 · Income Bucket
Maintain the target beyond retirement
The Income Bucket continues to target the preset number of years of expenses, even in the final years of the plan. This means it may retain funds to cover expenses beyond the chosen planning horizon.
With Option 1, once fewer years remain than the two Buckets cover together, the Safety Bucket stops being refilled and is spent first. The Income Bucket keeps the final years and pays them itself.
Final years of the results table under Option 1: the Safety Bucket's coverage falls to 0 first, then the Income Bucket's falls from 3 years to 0.
Option 1: the Safety Bucket (right) is spent first, then the Income Bucket (left) pays the final years and winds down to 0.
Final years of the results table under Option 2: the Income Bucket stays at 3 years and the Safety Bucket at 5 years.
Option 2: the Income Bucket (left) stays at 3 years and the Safety Bucket (right) at 5 years to the last year.
The second option is useful for retirees who want to keep both Buckets at their targets even in the final year of the plan, particularly because the actual end of retirement is uncertain.
7

When the Initial Portfolio Is Insufficient

In some cases, the Growth Bucket may not have enough money to replenish the Safety Bucket and Income Bucket as required throughout retirement while also meeting the chosen legacy target.
When this happens, the calculator determines a higher initial portfolio value that would meet the model's requirements and achieve the chosen legacy level.

The four Stacked calculators

All four follow the Bucket rules above. Each one solves for a different question.
Final Legacy
The largest legacy you can leave, given your starting corpus and expenses.
Retirement Corpus Required
The smallest starting corpus that covers your expenses and reaches your legacy goal.
Maximum Discretionary Spending
The most you can spend on discretionary expenses while still meeting your goals.
Maximum Income Bucket Levels Allowed Under Bucket Approach
The most years of expenses the Income Bucket can hold while still meeting your goals.

Monte Carlo Analysis

The Monte Carlo feature runs multiple simulations using varying investment returns to evaluate how often a retirement plan meets its goals.
1

Defining Success

You can specify the minimum legacy required for a simulation to be considered successful. A simulation counts as a success if the portfolio never runs out during the plan and ends with at least this legacy.
2

Growth Bucket Returns

You can specify an average annual return and a standard deviation for the Growth Bucket's returns.
The average return sets the expected return assumption, while the standard deviation determines the volatility of returns across simulated years.
3

Safety Bucket and Income Bucket Returns

You can choose to randomize the Safety Bucket's and Income Bucket's annual returns, each on its own, allowing their returns to vary from year to year rather than remain fixed.
4

Skipping Safety Bucket and Income Bucket Refills

You can set a threshold for refills from the Growth Bucket based on its compounded return over the previous three years. If that 3-year return falls below the chosen threshold, the Growth Bucket does not refill the Safety Bucket and Income Bucket that year. Such a year is called a skip year.
Example: if the threshold is −5%, the refill is skipped when the Growth Bucket's compounded return over the previous three years is below −5%.
If fewer than three years have passed since the start of the plan, the refill decision is based on the available Growth Bucket returns since the plan began.
In a skip year, the Safety Bucket pays the expenses and falls below its target, since the Growth Bucket does not refill it. As a result, the Income Bucket's window now begins where the Safety Bucket's coverage now ends.
Example: if the Safety Bucket was supposed to hold enough for 5 years, it covered the first 5 years, and the 5-year Income Bucket covered years 6 to 10. If the Safety Bucket's coverage drops to 4 years because it was not refilled, the Income Bucket now covers years 5 to 9. So, the Income Bucket is resized to have enough for this new window of coverage.
If ever the Growth Bucket runs out, the Safety Bucket pays expenses until it is exhausted, and the Income Bucket then takes over and pays the expenses. This is the key difference between the Stacked and the Constant Refilling models.
5

Minimum Safety Coverage (Optional)

If you choose this option, the Income Bucket breaks the norm and refills the Safety Bucket up to the number of years of expenses you choose. This happens either in a skip year, when the Growth Bucket refills neither Bucket, or when the Growth Bucket has run out completely.
6

Planning Beyond the Last Year of Retirement

Monte Carlo analysis always maintains the Safety Bucket and Income Bucket at their target levels through the end of the plan, corresponding to Option 2 above. This applies regardless of which option was selected on the main calculator.
7

Number of Simulations

You can choose how many simulations to run, up to a maximum of 10,000. Running more simulations provides a broader sample of possible outcomes, although it does not guarantee that the results will predict actual future performance.
Ready to try it?
Pick one of the four Stacked calculators and run your own numbers.
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Disclaimer:
The content and tools on this website are provided for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice.
All calculations, projections, and outputs are provided for illustrative purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to their accuracy and assume no responsibility for errors, omissions, or outcomes resulting from their use.
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